Carolina Meligeni Alves vs Mai Hontama Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do Alves and Hontama compare in second serve performance? Hontama has a slight edge over Alves, winning 40.64% compared to Alves's 40.27% of points on second serves in recent months.
• For return games, Alves appears stronger, capturing 53.94% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Hontama's 50.33%, though their first serve return statistics are nearly identical.
• Breakpoints saved show similar performance under pressure, with Alves at 46.23% and Hontama slightly better at 46.47%.
• Looking at match wins over the past year, Alves has a superior winning percentage at 60.53%, while Hontama stands at 43.1%.
• Are surfaces a factor? Alves notably excels on clay with a 60% win rate, whereas Hontama shines on hard courts, boasting a 61% win rate.
• Event level experience gives Alves a notable edge, winning 62.32% of their matches in Challengers/ITF tournaments, while Hontama has a winning rate of 43.75% in similar events.
• In direct encounters, Hontama leads with one win, having won their only previous match against Alves 6-1, 6-3 on hard courts.
• Opponent quality varied, with Alves confronting players with an average rank of 419 and Hontama facing more challenging opponents ranked, on average, at 237.14.
• Alves has a better record in deciding sets, winning 59% compared to Hontama's 36% over recent months.
• Considering breakpoint opportunities, Alves again holds an advantage, converting 40.74% against Hontama’s 37.24%.

Editorial Prediction (June 3, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the comparative strengths of Alves and Hontama reveals a nuanced competition. While Hontama shows a slight advantage in second serve points, Alves excels significantly in return games, which often dictates match outcomes.

Alves showcases versatility with a stronger overall match win rate and adeptness in converting breakpoints. Their ability to handle high-pressure moments through better breakpoint conversion is crucial.

Although Hontama won their prior encounter and competes against higher-ranked opponents, the performance metrics strongly favor Alves in clutch situations like deciding sets.

Considering these factors, Alves is poised as the more likely victor in the upcoming match, leveraging their efficient return game and superior performance under pressure.